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Talk…about money

Baseball has always fascinated us because it constantly challenges our instincts.

A player hits .450 over ten games and suddenly fans are convinced he’s the next Hall of Famer. Remember when Ely De La Cruz was called up?

Two weeks later, the same player goes into a slump and people are wondering if he belongs in Triple-A.  Not that Ely is ever going to be sent down! The truth is probably somewhere in between.

Good managers know that hot streaks eventually cool off and cold streaks usually end. They don’t rewrite the entire lineup every time someone has a great weekend.  Investors can learn a lot from that.

One of the hardest things to resist is the temptation to pile money into whatever has been performing the best lately. A technology stock doubles. An international fund has an incredible year. Suddenly everyone wants more exposure because it feels safe.  Ironically, the better something has performed recently, the more disciplined you often need to become.  SpaceX, anyone?

That doesn’t mean selling every winner. It means asking whether your portfolio still reflects your long-term goals or whether recent success has quietly changed your risk profile.  Sometimes the smartest move is simply rebalancing.

It’s the financial equivalent of moving a player down one spot in the order, not because he’s playing poorly, but because the lineup as a whole works better that way.  At Dinergy, we spend a lot of time talking clients through these moments because emotions have a funny way of showing up after success just as often as after failure.  Fear makes us sell too early.  Greed makes us buy too late.

The discipline to stay thoughtful instead of emotional may not make headlines, but over a lifetime of investing it can make an enormous difference.

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